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Vavi wants R10/$ exchange rate

Nov 25, 2009 10:26 PM | By AMUKELANI CHAUKE

The Congress of South African Trade Unions has called for an exchange rate of R10 to the US dollar to boost South Africa's weak manufacturing sector.


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FIXED VIEWS: Cosatu secretary-general Zwelinzima Vavi says monetary policy should be changed and that the exchange rate be pegged at R10/$ Picture: ELIZABETH SEJAKE
FIXED VIEWS: Cosatu secretary-general Zwelinzima Vavi says monetary policy should be changed and that the exchange rate be pegged at R10/$ Picture: ELIZABETH SEJAKE

Cosatu general secretary Zwelinzima Vavi also warned that despite signs of the recession being over, more jobs will be lost this December due to the government's failing economic policies.

Briefing journalists on the outcomes of the union federation's central executive committee meeting yesterday, Vavi said inflation targeting was also to blame for the high interest and exchange rates.

"We must do everything necessary to deal with this crisis, even China fixes its exchange rate and I think we should also look into a similar solution.

"We are calling for a bolder government that recognises the fact that we are in a deep crisis, not one that is a prisoner of how the markets perform," he said.

Vavi welcomed the new approach that the newly appointed South African Reserve Bank Governor Gill Marcus has adopted.

She has vowed to allow the union to participate in discussions surrounding inflation.

Vavi did not see eye-to-eye with Marcus's predecessor, Tito Mboweni, over his refusal to give Cosatu a platform to participate in policy discussions.

Early this year, the union also called for Mboweni's head before his term was finished.

"The CEC welcomed undertakings by the finance minister, comrade Pravin Gordhan, and the new governor to open discussions on macro-economic policy.

"The central message of the CEC is that the overall recovery of the economy cannot occur in the context of old policies that have failed to deliver sustainable livelihoods and industrial structure."

Vavi also said that more than 1million jobs are likely to be lost by the end of the year, and blamed this on the government being "slow" to respond to the recession.

He said the 959000 jobs lost in the past nine months would not be cancelled by the 0.9% growth in gross domestic product, announced by Statistics SA on Tuesday.

"We have been campaigning for the monetary and the fiscal policy to be changed," he said.

"We think that the policy has been a disaster for South Africa's development challenges."

He said Cosatu would develop a framework document to outline how the economy would need to change.

The federation would detail a policy position on exchange rate management, interest rate policy and inflation control.

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Comments

Nov 26 2009 06:23:54 AM
OBigOneKenobi
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He said inflation targeting is the worst thing that ever happened on the radio yesterday. Nice attitude...until a loaf of bread costs R30. Then I'm sure he'll have something to say about how the "government has failed to protect the poor" from inflation.

And what happens to the cost of petrol when the exchange rate goes back to 10:1? And when petrol goes up, what will he say about the cost of everything else going up too?

And why 10:1? Just because it was 10 a while ago? What if it was 5:1 now and it was 7.50:1 then? Would he then want it to be 7.50:1 i.e. what it is now?

Come on Vavi, think through your arguments.
Nov 26 2009 08:45:05 AM
bart
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Will make me some good bucks if it goes to R10, but ja - cost of everything else will go up too - what is the ideal exchange rate - for me about R8 - but it varies from business to business - so how do you decide?
Nov 26 2009 10:57:52 AM
VIP No.1
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I guess it's about weighing the cost of imports against the income from exports. If R10/$ brings more income and saves a lot of jobs in the exporting market than the income we get then which one's better. Just asking! It also has it's down side because oil will be more expensive to import. But at the end of the day which one's better between expensive imports and profitable exports?
Nov 26 2009 11:55:18 AM
bart
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Think profitable exports, expensive imports better, will result in us manufacturing more of the stuff we currently import - thus more jobs, but hey, I'm not an economist.
Nov 26 2009 12:44:45 PM
feelgood
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@Bart, Vavi has to be carefully about setting a fixed rate rand because this can lead to a black market in SA currency. The problem lies with the Chinese pegging their Yuan to the dollar at 6.6 and when the dollar goes down the Yuan goes down. This system is wiping out countries like SA because they can't compete against China. When COSATU were calling all of these strikes they should have thought about the impact these strikes would have on SA economy. China is killing SA growth and the labor cost is too high for many companies to operate there. Many SA companies are able to make a profit because of their earning in other African countries. For example, SAB makes more money selling beer in Nigeria than in SA. Shoprite is making more money in other African countries than in SA. I think the SA press should be telling the public about this reality when people like Malema starts popping off.
Nov 26 2009 04:13:32 PM
Lebo Maduna
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@feelgood

Where did you get your wrong information. Those two companies are making more money here than anywhere else in africa.
Nov 26 2009 06:13:43 PM
Ozgood
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Here is something for Mr Vavi to consider

The source is given at the end of the quote.

Devaluation is the economic equivalent of steroids: it can bulk you up for a little while, but it's debilitating over the long term. As Keynes
famously noted, admittedly before he was really a Keynesian, debauching a currency "engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose." It impoverishes a country on a world scale, and diverts attention from serious underlying problems like chronically low investment levels, political drift, and social decay.

I hope he reads this and starts to think

http://www.mail-archive.com/pen-l@galaxy.csuchico.edu/msg01625.html


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