Bela-Bela bids for Durban July glory

01 July 2016 - 10:06 By Mike Moon

The waiting's over. A gong will sound at Greyville racecourse at 4.20pm tomorrow, starting gates will clang open, 18 of South Africa's best thoroughbred horses will spring into action and start belting along a narrow strip of turf. Just over two minutes later we'll salute the 119th victor of the fabled Durban July.Perhaps you'll have backed that very horse. Well done! Any chance you'll buy a round, you jammy bastard?Herewith the traditional GeeGees July guide:1 FRENCH NAVY 5-1. No Frexit here, sailor boy; he's well in the fold of our final choices. Top weight, but favourably handicapped against younger rivals. Money coming.2 MAC DE LAGO 25-1. Och naw, Jimmy.3 ABASHIRI 14-1. Triple Crown hero, but heavily weighted for a three-year-old. Still, there are plenty of "Aba" fans for the Super Trouper. If he wins, imagine the singing: "The Winner Takes it All", "Mama Mia", "Money, Money, Money". Please, no.4 MASTER SABINA 28-1. Summer Cup winner who had bad luck in a Cape Town campaign. Track and distance suited, well drawn and weighted, champion jockey and going like a train in training. Very dangerous outsider.5 BLACK ARTHUR 6-1. One-time July favourite, but dumped by ace jockey Anthony Delpech in favour of a sweet young thing. Hong Kong multiple champ, and Durban's own, Dougie Whyte jets in to take over in the irons. Obvious chance, but big weight and wide draw are negatives.6 RABADA - Scratched.7 SAMURAI BLADE 45-1. Not sharp enough.8 SOLID SPEED 11-2. Same owner-trainer-jockey combo as last year's winner. Preparation and form look similar, too. Should be in the frame.9 IT'S MY TURN 11-1. That's what they all say. Maybe next time, with a better draw and fewer well-backed stablemates. Though a win wouldn't be a major surprise.10 ROCKETBALL 35-1. Can you hear me, Major Tom?11 MAMBO MIME 16-1. Dark horse. The one you worry about when you leave him out.12 TEN GUN SALUTE 25-1. "Boom!", in a bad way, if he turns up in the winner's box.13 MARINARESCO 12-1. Not considered good enough for trainer Mike Bass' seasonal string in KwaZulu-Natal, but he started beating up on rats and mice back home in Cape Town and they shipped him up the coast pronto. He got a starting-gate draw out on the Marine Parade. Respect a top stable, but it looks tough for him.14 THE CONGLOMERATE 18-1. Not even on the beachfront; surf will be lapping the fetlocks, so wide is this guy's draw. A few horses have won the July from out there in the not-too-distant past and he has scheming "Striker" Strydom to help him along.15 DYNAMIC 35-1. His main task might be to ride shotgun for stablemate Bela-Bela in a race that's always full of rough-and-tumble. Alternatively, might go out and make the pace. His form is reasonable and an upset victory is not inconceivable.16 ST TROPEZ 10-1. The record has a progressive, "come-on" look about it, though he could have done with a second prep run after a long holiday. A significant chance for master rider Anton Marcus to claim a record-breaking fifth Durban July victory17 SARATOGA DANCER 66-1. Two left feet.18 BELA-BELA 11-1. Backed into favourite when jockey Anthony Delpech declared her nearly as good a filly as 2011 July champ Igugu and promptly hopped off fancied Black Arthur in favour of this little grey minx. Certainly a brilliant horse with blinding acceleration. If she has luck in running and isn't bullied by the blokes, she should be to the fore in the final dash from the subway.19 TROPHY WIFE 25-1. Reserve runner substituted into the race when Rabada was scratched. Useful filly, but might not have quite enough from an outside gate. ..

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