The Big Read: What the voice of the vote said

08 August 2016 - 09:37 By Justice Malala

The election campaign has been long and hard. Here are some of my reflections following the announcement of the final results: Urban voters told Zuma and his cronies to jump in the lakeThe Zuma Legacy: President Jacob Zuma will make history. On his watch the ANC has declined dramatically - from 66% support in 2006 to 54% in 2016. But the fissures in the ANC under his term and after these elections now run so deep that he may yet be a bigger feature in history books than we contemplated. Under him the 104-year-old ANC may split.As the elections blame-game in the ANC intensifies, those who support him, particularly the Premier League (a faction built around the premiers of Mpumalanga, North West and Free State and the new KZN ANC leadership) are daring his critics to "leave the ANC" if they are so unhappy. If Zuma stays in power such a scenario is not unthinkable.It is clear that the ANC in major metros has soured of the man, hence the big stayaway and shift to the opposition by ANC members. On his watch COPE, the EFF and the United Front have been born from the ANC. Numsa and its 400000 members have left Cosatu. The ANC in Gauteng will be next.The Future is Messy: Talk of coalitions is rife. However, it is doubtful whether many realise just how difficult and fragile coalitions can be.Take Zuma's home municipality, Nkandla, which the ANC lost last week. After the 2011 local government elections, Nkandla was run by a coalition of the National Freedom Party and the ANC. Within two years of the vote, the IFP gained outright control in by-elections.Coalitions might be formed, but many will collapse, triggering by-elections. There lies an opportunity for the losers to regroup, energise support and take the municipality.Voters will be watching to see who is a spoiler, which party jumps into bed with another merely to wreck an administration. Political leaders need to be very careful.The End of Impunity: We've been reminded of a key reason why we go through this ritual every five years. We do not merely vote for policies. We also vote because we assess how those we voted for previously have done.The ANC at national level has been disastrous. The economy has ground to a halt. Unemployment is horrendous. Inequality is the worst in the world. Corruption hangs like a miasma over the head of the president, many in his cabinet and his family. This record of failure was achieved within just seven years of the Zuma administration.Urban voters essentially told Zuma and his cronies to jump in the lake. They are done, finished, kaput.Credibility: Despite the glitches, the IEC was magnificent. Thank you Glen Mashinini and your team of thousands. Keep this institution credible, strong and independent.Something to Believe In: Let's reflect on the rise of the EFF.It is attractive and meaningful to many young people because it is relevant to their lives.When I was a kid of 10 my brother, four years older than me, told me about ubuntu and Steve Biko. My brother didn't just tell me about Black Power - he lived it. On Friday afternoons he rushed from school to listen to the only reggae radio programme available at the time: an hour of pure joy as he imbibed the words of Bob Marley, Peter Tosh and others. The SABC didn't realise revolution was the language of reggae.What I am saying is this: my brother was a believer. He believed in a struggle for a better world, a more humane world, where black people loved themselves and saw themselves fully humanised.You have to believe. What do ANC members believe in?In the 1980s, gender activists in the ANC believed in the theory of triple oppression: that they were enslaved as women, as workers and as blacks.So think about what happened at the IEC on Saturday evening. When Zuma was confronted with a silent protest against rape culture by gender (and EFF) activists, it was three women - ANC Women's League president Bathabile Dlamini and ministers Nomvula Mokonyane and Lindiwe Zulu - who led the charge against the protesters.What do these women believe in? They believe in Zuma and will do anything to protect him, as they did on Saturday evening. There were many male ANC leaders present but none did anything to protect Zuma.If you are a young woman , what does the ANC give you to believe in? That it will protect you and the thousands of other women who are violated every year?In a world where the "leader of society" has become a reactionary, sexist, racist, undemocratic force led by a giggling male chauvinist, the EFF gives young people something to believe in. It gives them hope. It gives them an idea of a better, more equitable, world.Young people want to believe in something greater than themselves, greater than all of us. The EFF gives to them what my brother showed me in Biko, Marley, Tambo and others. That is why the EFF will grow...

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