How world became awash with oil

10 December 2015 - 02:12 By ©The Daily Telegraph

Global oil markets are heading into uncharted territory. Opec, the cartel that oversees a third of the world's oil production, has dropped all semblance of control over the world's supply.Torn by a new war between its de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, and erstwhile rival Iran, the group failed to agree on a formal production target for the first time in its recent history in December.The "overriding impression is one of indecision and, to some extent, powerlessness" said oil analyst Jon Rigby at financial services company UBS."The group is not in control of the market or, indeed, its own production levels, and hence is largely irrelevant,"Life could prove nasty, brutish and short for investors and sovereigns burnt in the post-Opec oil world.This paralysis has led to a record glut in the world's oil supply and a price plummet not seen since the depths of the financial crisis in 2009. Current Opec production stands at around 31.5million barrels a day. With no official quota in sight, its 13 member nations are now intent on pumping as much as they can in a global free-for-all to capture market share and smash rival producers.Brent crude could now be heading to as low at $20 per barrel in 2016, according to Goldman Sachs.The result of the price crash could be a new deflationary wave hitting the world economy. On the upside, this record cushion should protect the world from adverse supply shocks, as geopolitical risks still loom large in Iraq and Syria. ..

There’s never been a more important time to support independent media.

From World War 1 to present-day cosmopolitan South Africa and beyond, the Sunday Times has been a pillar in covering the stories that matter to you.

For just R80 you can become a premium member (digital access) and support a publication that has played an important political and social role in South Africa for over a century of Sundays. You can cancel anytime.

Already subscribed? Sign in below.



Questions or problems? Email helpdesk@timeslive.co.za or call 0860 52 52 00.