It is between Arsenal and Manchester City for the title, but I think the big surprise over the course of the second half of the season is that Chelsea will go on a long unbeaten run to force themselves into the top six. I have a feeling that will be the big story over the next five months. We got a hint of that when they went to Crystal Palace on Sunday and beat them easily.I think we saw this weekend, though, why it is a two-horse race for the title. Manchester City came from behind, late on, against a good Watford side and Arsenal managed to grind out a win when they were not playing well against Newcastle. That is not something Arsenal have been able to do in the past and it shows their progress this season.These are the games you have to win if you are going to be champions and both Arsenal and Man City managed to find a way to win, even though both managers would probably admit they weren't at their best.It's a coin toss to separate them for me.But I'm going to tip Manchester City . They have the better players and they have players who have won league titles before.People might be surprised, but I also think Manchester United will finish the season strongly. They've had a really tough period and the manager has been under a lot of pressure, but he is vastly experienced, has seen it all before and they still have some excellent players.I believe Manchester United will place third.As for fourth place, Tottenham look the most likely to me. I watched them play Everton on Sunday and they were brilliant in the first half. They have got a young team and they are getting better and better.Chelsea are only seven points behind Liverpool, and I think their renewed form will see them occupy fifth place.Leicester have had the most successful season of the lot up to this point when you think they were tipped to go down in August, but they will probably start to fall away and I've put them down to finish sixth. ..