Expect blood as Zuma the wounded bull lurches onward

29 November 2016 - 09:13 By The Times Editorial

This came as a rude shock to Zuma and his supporters. The venom appeared to have been extracted from the disaffected veterans Zuma met last week by vague promises.He must have felt that he was once again on secure ground.Hanekom's motion cut through that. It was backed by Health Minister Aaron Motsoaledi and Public Works Minister Thulas Nxesi. And there were others who rose to criticise Zuma.So what will happen now? The words of Count Niccolo Machiavelli, "Never do an enemy a small injury", are apposite. It all boils down to how severely Zuma was wounded at the NEC meeting. If a substantial injury has been inflicted, he will have been weakened and will operate under growing pressure.But, if he holds the fort and his enemies are few and feeble, expect him to emerge stronger and more dangerous. This scenario is worth exploring.If Zuma survives this, he will continue to rule until 2019. You can expect him to act ruthlessly against those who would thwart him. He will begin with the executive, reshuffling the cabinet to extinguish, or at least reduce, his opponents' influence.Inside the party, there will be retribution. With the NEC behind him, he will be in a strong position to undermine the authority of his critics.And, waiting in the wings, are Zuma's securocrats, who run the intelligence services, the police and the prosecution services. Expect them to start digging for - or manufacturing - criminal liability by the dissenters.In short, the ANC will be turned into an organ of Zuma.Let's hope that Hanekom has administered more than just a flesh wound...

There’s never been a more important time to support independent media.

From World War 1 to present-day cosmopolitan South Africa and beyond, the Sunday Times has been a pillar in covering the stories that matter to you.

For just R80 you can become a premium member (digital access) and support a publication that has played an important political and social role in South Africa for over a century of Sundays. You can cancel anytime.

Already subscribed? Sign in below.



Questions or problems? Email helpdesk@timeslive.co.za or call 0860 52 52 00.