Still hope to prevent Rage-based second wave, but only if contract tracing and quarantine happens
Prof Salim Abdool Karim says if KZN officials quickly trace and quarantine those who attended the Ballito Rage Festival, there is hope in stabilising infections
One of SA's leading health experts in the fight against Covid-19, Prof Salim Abdool Karim, says that if KZN officials quickly trace and quarantine those who attended the 2020 Ballito Rage Festival, there was still hope of stabilising infection numbers.
Abdool Karrim spoke to TimesLIVE on Monday after growing concerns that a series of parties across Ballito and Durban mimicked superspreader events. The 2020 Ballito Rage Festival kicked off on November 27, with dozens of clubs from Ballito to Durban hosting events.
Organisers came under scrutiny after a Hillcrest-based doctor took to Facebook on Saturday and said his team had seen an influx in requests for Covid-19 tests — allegedly stemming from the Rage festival.
Abdool Karim, infectious disease epidemiologist and co-chair of the South African Covid-19 ministerial advisory committee, said it all depended on how quickly cases can be identified.
“It does not mean that automatically now we will see a big epidemic, because it all depends on how quickly we can find the cases and how many of those who went to Rage are now going into quarantine. Because if they can do all of that, we can bring the cases back down. But if we can't do that, then the cases will continue to increase,” he said.
Abdool Karrim said no-one could be certain that the festival had flouted regulations — but if there were high numbers of people gathering at venues, over and above the numbers allowed under lockdown level 1, then the events could be considered superspreaders.
He said policing was crucial in ensuring people followed these regulations.
TimesLIVE spoke to three Rage attendees who all confirmed that the first night was by far the worst in terms of overcrowding.
KZN new #COVID19 cases reported:— Mosa Moshabela (@MoshabelaMosa) December 7, 2020
1st Dec: 309 new cases
2nd Dec: 544 new cases
3rd Dec: 579 new cases
4th Dec: 611 new cases
5th Dec: 671 new cases
6th Dec: 804 new cases
Triggered by Black Friday 26/27th Nov, Matric Rage 26/11 to 04/12. Lili Govender🙏🏿@DrZweliMkhize @sziks
In a Facebook post Ballito Rage said it had been approved by the local health department and Durban events department to host Rage 2020.
“Our full Covid-19 plan was submitted (an 86-page document) to the local health department and the Durban events department before the event. We had to comply with more than 20 additional regulations to obtain approval, which was obtained,” the statement reads.
On Sunday, health minister Dr Zweli Mkhize urged all those who had attended matric rage parties already to immediately go into a 10-day quarantine. Mkhize issued the alert for pupils who attended parties at Ballito, Plettenberg Bay and Jeffreys Bay.
However, according to Patty Butterworth of Plettenberg Bay Tourism, the minister had incorrectly implicated Plettenberg Bay.
“The South African health minister and government has incorrectly stated that Plettenberg Bay hosted the Plett Rage. This is not true — Plett Rage was postponed until 2021 and did not take place as reported,” she said.
On Monday organisers of rage festivals said all events planned for 2020 and 2021 have been postponed until further notice after allegations of superspreader events in KZN.
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