WATCH | What Trump's decision regarding Iran means for you
US president Donald Trump announced his decision to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal on May 8 2018. But what exactly is the Iran nuclear deal? And how does it affect South Africa?
The deal could mean bad news for the global economy, particularly when it comes to the price of oil - as Iran is a major oil producer.
Sanctions mean that they wouldn't supply that oil anymore, and if we decided to deal with Iran anyway we'd risk America placing sanctions on us.
This means you could end up paying more at the pump, and the rand could suffer.
As to the deal itself, the deal was designed to restrict Iran's nuclear activities.
Those restrictions are policed by the UN nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency.
The biggest obstacle to building a nuclear weapon is obtaining enough fissile material — highly enriched uranium or plutonium — for the core of the bomb.
A central aim of the deal was to extend the time Iran would need to do that, if it chose to, to a year from about 2-3 months.
The JCPOA, which took effect in January 2016, cuts off the plutonium track while severely restricting uranium enrichment.
Iran was building a heavy-water reactor at Arak that could eventually have produced spent fuel from which plutonium could be separated.
Under the JCPOA:
- The core of that reactor has been removed and filled with concrete to make it unusable
- The reactor is being redesigned so as to “minimise the production of plutonium and not to produce weapon-grade plutonium in normal operation“.
- All spent fuel from Arak will be shipped out of Iran. (For the reactor’s lifetime)
- Iran commits not to engage in reprocessing or reprocessing research activities. (For 15 years)
Iran has two vast enrichment sites, at Natanz and Fordow.
Much of Natanz is deep underground and Fordow is buried inside a mountain, which is widely believed to protect them from aerial bombardment.
The deal allows Iran to continue enrichment at Natanz but with a series of constraints. It turns Fordow into a “nuclear, physics and technology centre” where centrifuges are used for purposes other than enrichment, like producing stable isotopes.
- Slashes the number of centrifuges installed in Iran to roughly 6,000 from around 19,000 before the deal. (For 10 years, though a centrifuge cap at Fordow remains in place for 15 years)
- Caps at 3.67% the purity to which Iran can enrich uranium — far below the roughly 90% threshold of weapons-grade. Before the deal, it enriched uranium to up to 20 percent purity. (For 15 years)
- Restricts Iran’s stock of low-enriched uranium to 202.8 kg, or technically 300 kg of uranium hexafluoride (UF6), the gas that is fed into centrifuges. Iran produced more than 15 tonnes of enriched UF6 before the deal. (For 15 years)
- Bans enrichment and nuclear material from Fordow. (For 15 years)
- Only allows Iran to enrich uranium with its first-generation IR-1 centrifuges. (For 10 years)
- Lets Iran carry out research with small numbers of more advanced centrifuges, but without accumulating enriched uranium.
The text of the deal also:
- Requires Iran to provisionally apply the IAEA Additional Protocol - which grants the agency wide-ranging inspection powers — and “subsequently seek ratification and entry into force“.
- Grants U.N. nuclear inspectors daily access to Natanz and Fordow (for 15 years)
- Says the deal’s signatories must vet Iran’s purchases of nuclear or dual-use equipment
- Bans Iran from carrying out a range of activities that could contribute to making a nuclear bomb, such as computer simulations of a nuclear explosion or designing certain multi-point detonation systems. In some cases, those activities can be carried out with the other signatories’ approval.