IMF urges Asia to be mindful of spillover risks from tightening

20 May 2022 - 12:02 By Tetsushi Kajimoto
subscribe Just R20 for the first month. Support independent journalism by subscribing to our digital news package.
Subscribe now
The Bank of Japan's easing policy — which the IMF has described as quite effective — runs counter to a global shift towards monetary tightening, with central banks in the US, Britain and Australia having already raised interest rates.
The Bank of Japan's easing policy — which the IMF has described as quite effective — runs counter to a global shift towards monetary tightening, with central banks in the US, Britain and Australia having already raised interest rates.
Image: REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo

Asian economies must be mindful of spillover risks as a decade of unconventional easing policies by major central banks is unwound faster than expected, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Deputy MD Kenji Okamura said.

This risk applied particularly to the most vulnerable economies, said Okamura.

Asian economies faced a choice between supporting growth with more stimulus and withdrawing it to stabilise debt and inflation, he said.

The Bank of Japan's easing policy — which the IMF has described as quite effective — runs counter to a global shift towards monetary tightening, with central banks in the US, Britain and Australia having already raised interest rates.

The widening gap between Japanese and US interest rates has been a major factor behind the recent yen depreciation to two-decade lows.

“You can mostly explain the recent movements, especially the last month, in the yen based on essentially tighter global monetary policy” including the U.S. Federal Reserve, said Ranil Salgado, assistant director and Japan mission chief at IMF's Asia and Pacific Department.

“The yen depreciation on balance helps Japan,” Salgado added, echoing views of BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda.

Okamura, a former Japanese vice finance minister for international affairs, said the COVID-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine and tighter global financial conditions would make this year “challenging” for Asia.

The war was affecting Asia through higher commodity prices and slower growth in Europe, he said.

Speaking at his first media event since becoming one of four deputy MDs at the global lender in December, Okamura warned on the prospect of even more forceful tightening if inflation expectations kept on “drifting”.

“There is a risk that drifting inflation expectations could require an even more forceful tightening,” he said, calling for calibrated policies and clear communication.

Reuters 

subscribe Just R20 for the first month. Support independent journalism by subscribing to our digital news package.
Subscribe now

Would you like to comment on this article?
Sign up (it's quick and free) or sign in now.

Speech Bubbles

Please read our Comment Policy before commenting.