Brazil's Bolsonaro barred from office until 2030

Former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro's political career was in tatters on Friday as Brazil's federal electoral court (TSE) barred the far-right nationalist from public office until 2030 for his conduct during last year's fraught election.

Five out of seven justices voted to convict the 68-year-old Bolsonaro for abuse of power and misuse of the media over his actions in July 2022, ahead of the election, when he summoned ambassadors to vent unfounded claims about Brazil's electronic voting system.

Their decision marks a stunning reversal for Bolsonaro, a fiery populist who narrowly the lost October vote to leftist rival Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. Many in Brazil blame Bolsonaro for creating a nationwide movement to overturn the result, which culminated in the January 8 invasion of government buildings in Brasilia by thousands of his supporters.

The impact from the electoral court's ruling is likely to ripple through Brazilian politics, removing Lula's main foe from contention in 2026 and opening up space among a competitive field on Brazil's right.

Lula's team celebrated the result.

“Some important messages come from the TSE trial: lying is not a legitimate tool for exercising a public function and politics is not governed by the law of the jungle,” justice minister Flavio Dino tweeted. “Democracy has overcome its toughest stress test in decades.”

Bolsonaro has denied wrongdoing, and his lawyers have pledged to appeal to the Supreme Court. On Friday, he described the decision as a “stab in the back”, and said he would keep working to advance right-wing politics in Brazil.

But it remains to be seen what Bolsonaro, whose personal brand has become increasingly toxic in Brazil, does next.

While his own hopes of beating Lula in 2026 may be over, he has said he would support his wife, Michelle, as candidate. She is a political novice, but an avowed evangelical Christian who could garner support among a religious right that is wary of Lula.

"'Our dream is more alive than ever,'” she wrote on Instagram after the ruling. “I am at your command, my CAPTAIN.”

As president, Jair Bolsonaro, an admirer of former US president Donald Trump, was criticised internationally for his lacklustre stewardship of the Amazon rainforest, his laissez-faire approach to Covid-19 restrictions, and his evidence-free attacks on Brazil's electoral system.

The TSE trial is part of a broader reckoning in Brazil with the fallout from the country's most painful election in a generation. While the former president faced the electoral court scrutiny, many of his one-time allies are being questioned by lawmakers in a congressional probe into the January 8 riots.

Bolsonaro also still faces multiple criminal probes that could put him behind bars. 

Reuters