PODCAST | All hail kingmaker Malema!

The Numbers Don't Lie is a limited podcast series exploring the data behind the elections, pulling out the stories we didn't know were there

06 May 2019 - 11:13 By scott peter smith
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EFF leader Julius Malema arrives at the party's last pre-election rally at Orlando Stadium on Sunday.
EFF leader Julius Malema arrives at the party's last pre-election rally at Orlando Stadium on Sunday.
Image: Simphiwe Nkwali

While we can expect that the commander in chief of the Economic Freedom Fighters, Julius Malema, won't be taking the president's position, his party is still growing nicely.

A bigger percentage of the vote also means that the EFF has greater bargaining power, especially in the event of coalition negotiations at national and provincial level.

Are we looking at a kingmaker scenario through coalition?

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We can expect that if ANC support dips below 50%, Malema will not accept token posts and may set his sights on key cabinet positions.

The latest election survey by the Institute of Race Relations (IRR) has found that the EFF may be the only party to gain a significant increase in voter support when South Africa goes to the polls on May 8.

The party achieved 8.31% support in the local government election of 2015, only two years after it was established.

According to the report the EFF currently stands on 12.2% support nationally, which is 5.9 percentage points more than it secured in the 2014 national elections.

This week we are joined again by resident data analyst Paul Berkowitz, director of Edgis, and Sunday Times journalist Zingisa Mvumvu as we try to figure out just what Malema wants and is expected to do with his growing support.

The Numbers Don't Lie is a MultimediaLIVE production 

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