ANC in clear lead, DA slips, EFF and FF+ grow: Election results taking shape
With just over three out of four (75%) votes counted, the ANC and DA are projected to hold their positions as the leading political parties in SA, but with lower percentages than in the previous election. The EFF is expected to grow its base.
The FF+ has slipped behind the IFP into fifth place, with a mere two percent support.
On Friday morning, the ANC had 57% (with 6.8 million votes), the DA 21.8% and the EFF 10% of the votes. The IFP had 2.89% and the FF+ 2.48%.
The provinces where the most votes still need to be counted are Gauteng, Limpopo and KwaZulu-Natal. In Gauteng 55.79% of votes have been counted, 59.84% in Limpopo and 62.31% in KwaZulu-Natal.
Counting is all but done in the Western and the Northern Cape, with 94.36% and 97.45% of votes counted. The DA is in a commanding lead in the Western Cape with 54.76% vs the ANC’s 29.18%. In the Northern Cape, the ANC is out of sight of the pack with 57.25% of the votes, followed by the DA with 25.89%.
Elections analyst Dawie Scholtz on Friday morning projected a 65% overall turnout and the following outcomes:
- ANC 57.3%;
- DA 20.9%;
- EFF 10.4%;
- IFP 3.5%, and
- FF+ 2.7%.
In 2014, the ANC secured 62% of the vote, the DA 22.23% and the EFF 6.35%.
The red berets' chairperson, Dali Mpofu, tweeted overnight that he was closely watching the numbers coming in to see if the party had managed to grow its support. "Fighters in 2014 EFF received 1,169,259 votes nationally. Please let me know when we overtake that number. Thereafter even one more vote will mean not only that our base approves of our performance but that the base has grown," he said. At the latest count, the party is sitting at 1,205,322 (1.2-million).
PODCAST: The Numbers Don't Lie - VF+ and double votes change the game
A total of 12 million votes were cast.
The ACDP has garnered 0.92% of the vote so far, while the UDM has slipped to 0.53%. The Good party is at 0.50%, ATM at 0.48% and AIC at 0.29%, the same number as Cope, which has fallen to 11th place on the election leaderboard.
New party ZACP, known by its purple cow logo, has 9,762 votes (0.08%).
Agang has 9,714 votes and Azapo 8,923.
At the bottom are the KZN-based People's Revolutionary Movement with 1,630 votes, Limpopo-based South African Maintenance and Estate Beneficiaries Association with 1,613 votes and the radical left National People's Ambassadors party with 1,235 votes, all at 0.01% of the overall vote.
Good morning folks!— Dawie Scholtz (@DawieScholtz) May 10, 2019
National Projection Update:
With 68% of the national vote counted, the model is projecting:
No. 74.8% of stations have been counted. But because the bigger stations come in last, the 74.8% of stations actually only account of 68% of the eventual votes.— Dawie Scholtz (@DawieScholtz) May 10, 2019
In KZN, the ANC will pick up a lot of votes which are still out in the southern part of the province. There is nothing to little in from Ray Nkonyeni (Port Shepstone) in Ugu district, ANC got 75% here in 14. Lots of votes still out for IFP, +ANC in AbaQulusi (Vryheid), and Durban— Wayne Sussman (@waynesussman) May 10, 2019
De Lille’s party underperformed in these elections with her GOOD party. When she started the Independent Democrats, she got 7 seats in 2004. She’ll probably get only 1 now and at most 2. Her previous supporters have turned their back on her.— Sentletse (@Sentletse) May 9, 2019