GPI’s gamble on the SA food market is a loser

17 February 2019 - 06:43 By PENNY MASHEGO and NTANDO THUKWANA

Gaming and casino company Grand Parade Investments (GPI) is exiting its Dunkin' Donuts and Baskin-Robbins businesses as its losing streak continued in the food market that it entered in a gamble three years ago.
On Friday GPI announced that it had filed an application for voluntary liquidation of both businesses after not getting any "serious offers" for them. GPI's share price has declined by about 37% since it bought the rights to the operations.
Acting CEO Mohsin Tajbhai said the decision was made because these businesses had negatively impacted cash resources.
"Since June 2018, it has become apparent that both brands would not meet their original nor revised forecasts based on the poor performance of existing stores," said Tajbhai.
GPI's food business has been disappointing. It grappled with the challenges of an unfamiliar fast-food industry that faces pressure in a low-growth economy with low consumer confidence.
GPI owns the South African licence for Burger King and has a 17% stake in Spur.
Even Burger King faces challenges. GPI said the US franchise has been hampered by a sluggish economy and the sugar tax.
Keith McLachlan, small- and mid-cap fund manager at Alpha Asset Management, said a combination of factors contributed to GPI's performance. He said it was "happening during the current prolonged period of weak economic growth and declining consumer disposable income. It's a combination of a difficult business model in a difficult space at a difficult time."
He said the food business was not GPI's core expertise and that businesses that strayed from their core business tended to underperform.
GPI also faced executive issues. The company has had two CEOs in less than two years.
Its last CEO, Prabashinee Moodley, left after less than five months on the job. This was a few days before a dramatic AGM when shareholder activists voiced concerns over departing executives. They said the board lacked the skills and experience for the quick-service restaurant industry.
Independent analyst Anthony Clark said the exit from Dunkin' and Baskin-Robbins was a positive move by GPI.
"It starts the process of rehabilitating GPI in the eyes of shareholders and trying to unlock value and pare losses in fast food. They now need to invest more in Burger King or potentially sell it," Clark said.
"International food franchises coming into this country is a long-term venture," he said.
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