Soccer

Questions abound as El Clasico fires up La Liga without Ronaldo or Messi

No Ronaldo, No Messi. So just who is going to light up the stage in one of world football's most famous derbies?

28 October 2018 - 00:00 By bbc

It has been 3,962 days since Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo were both absent from El Clasico - one of the most famous football fixtures in world football.
For the past 10 years, it has been a personal playground for two larger-than-life global icons. But neither of them will be playing today when Barcelona and Real Madrid lock horns at the Nou Camp.
Ronaldo, of course, has departed for Juventus after a nine-year stay in Madrid that yielded 450 goals and 15 trophies, including four Champions League crowns.
And now Messi is absent too, with Barca's talisman sidelined after breaking his arm in last weekend's 4-2 victory against Sevilla - a result that sent the reigning champs top of the table and gives them the chance to move seven points clear of struggling Real today.
It will be the first Clasico to feature neither Messi nor Ronaldo since December 2007, when Real triumphed with a solitary goal from Julio Baptista in a game featuring other blasts from the past such as Deco, Gianluca Zambrotta, Gabriel Heinze and Ruud van Nistelrooy.
Since then Messi and Ronaldo have been the brightest of stars in the galaxy of world-class talent that is El Clasico: Messi is the fixture's all-time leading scorer (26 goals) and assister (14), while Ronaldo holds the record for the most consecutive Clasicos with a goal (six games, all in 2012).
So how will Barca cope with Messi's sudden absence? How will Real overcome their post-Ronaldo hangover? How will the pair's absence affect the wider pattern of the game? Let's take a look.
To say that Real are finding it difficult to come to terms with the summer departures of Ronaldo and equally legendary coach Zinedine Zidane is putting it mildly.
Los Blancos have drawn one and lost three of their past four league games, including shock defeats by Alaves and Levante, to drop down to seventh in the table and leave new manager Julen Lopetegui's position hanging by a thread.
The root of their problems is obvious: they have only scored once in those four games, and that came from left-back Marcelo in last weekend's 2-1 home defeat by Levante.
Even the midweek Champions League win over Viktoria Plzen didn't offer much solace. True, Karim Benzema got on the scoresheet for the first time in nearly two months, but the 2-1 victory - sealed by another goal from Marcelo - was far from convincing, especially in the kind of game they would routinely win by a street when Ronaldo was around.
FEELING THE ABSENCE
Removing a player who scored at least 40 goals in each of the past eight seasons without adequately replacing him was bound to carry consequences, especially as Ronaldo's departure was only one part of a gradual but significant thinning of the squad, which has left an alarming lack of genuine goalscorers.
When Real won the league and Champions League double in 2017, 48 league goals were provided by Ronaldo, Alvaro Morata and James Rodriguez. All of them have now left, with only the unproven Mariano Diaz added.
There is still an abundance of creative talent in the squad: any manager would love to be able to call upon Gareth Bale, Isco, Marco Asensio and Benzema. But none of those players are out-and-out scorers; they are players who do most of their best work outside the penalty area, supplying the ammunition rather than firing it.
One statistic to illustrate the team's dramatic downturn in firepower is that last year they equalled a world record by scoring in 73 consecutive games, whereas this season they have already been scoreless four times.
This week Isco bristled at the suggestion that Real are badly missing Ronaldo, snapping: "We can't cry about someone who didn't want to be here."
But the facts speak for themselves. Real possess nothing like the same kind of goal threat since the Portuguese departed.
Barca boss Ernesto Valverde had a simple answer when asked how he intended to compensate for the loss of Messi in the aftermath of the Argentine's injury last weekend, saying: "I don't know."
A few days later fullback Jordi Alba, who enjoys a particularly fruitful relationship with his captain, was similarly downbeat. "Nobody can replace Messi," he lamented. "He's the best player in the world."
But, for the short term, Barca do have to find a way of replacing him, and at least Valverde has plenty of options at his disposal.
The most obvious is Ousmane Dembele, the speedy winger who was signed in a £135.5m deal from Borussia Dortmund following the departure of Neymar before the start of last season.
But Dembele's time at the club so far has been maddeningly inconsistent, with the Frenchman looking equally likely to race past three opponents or sloppily concede possession whenever he receives the ball, and regularly provoking the ire of Luis Suarez by concluding a promising run with a wasteful cross or over-ambitious shot.
Considering Dembele's shortcomings, the preferred option could be a more advanced role for versatile Sergi Roberto, who was selected for that task the last time Messi missed a Clasico in 2015. On that occasion it worked a treat, with Roberto assisting the opener for Suarez in a thumping 4-0 victory at the Bernabeu. [Messi appeared from the bench with his team already 3-0 up.]
Valverde could also turn to Brazilian winger Malcom, who was signed for more than £30m from Bordeaux but has barely featured so far, making just two brief substitute appearances.
Another possibility is homegrown midfielder Rafinha, who had started just twice this season before scoring in Wednesday's win over Inter Milan, the club he joined on loan last term.
WHO TO CHOOSE?
Valverde could instead choose to bolster the centre of midfield by selecting veteran Arturo Vidal, who has started just twice since joining from Bayern Munich. There is also the option of adopting a more conventional 4-4-2 formation with Suarez partnered by young striker Munir El Haddadi.
So Barca have plenty of potential solutions for their Messi problem, but none of them look particularly convincing.
Other than whoever eventually replaces Messi, the player most directly affected by the absence of the Argentine should be Real's leftback Marcelo.
The dynamic Brazilian is an incredibly important part of Real's attacking approach, illustrated by the fact that he has scored two of their past three goals.
In this particular Clasico, Marcelo will be released from the burden of having to guard Messi and will therefore have the freedom to play his natural game, much to the benefit of Real's attacking play.
It seems certain whichever team adjusts better to Messi's absence will significantly boost their chances of victory...

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