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Bull's Eye

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Jeremy Thomas


Biography

Jeremy Thomas is the associate editor of Business Times. In previous lifetimes he has been a rock music and movie critic, advertising copywriter, public relations hack and enduringly poor golfer.


Latest Columns

Don't panic, the whiplash is on its way

It's a shabby business of late, the inability of the gold price to raise its sleepy head when everyone knows it should be dancing the fandango. (Okay, on Friday it rose, like, 1%, but, like, duh.)

Year of the hedge fund? Don't bet on it

For a long-term investor there is no sweeter sight than the chart of Shoprite from 2002 to date: a gorgeous climbing trend that shows disdain for trifling global financial crises.

A quantum mechanic can fix your fears

It is pretty rare to hear quantum mechanics evoked to describe the global economy, but hey - these are strange and dangerous times.

Try to see the funny side of bankers' antics

Richard Stovin-Bradford, for many years a larger-than-life character in these rooms and a stout defender of the banking industry, would have gone right off his feed.

Where normal market rules no longer apply

NOBODY likes it, but we are sliding down the plughole to a dystopian world where the normal rules of the market no longer apply.

Oh well, two out of five isn't bad

Oh, for heaven's sake. It is not right that a person as lissome, as prescient, as sweet a putter as I, should fail to predict the &%$#@!* prices, eight months in advance, of five stupid instruments quoted on the JSE.

Share market is no place for chickens

Warren Buffett has always said he'd never invest in a company he didn't understand - a strategy we all agree has stood him in pretty good stead.

Punk economics is the way to go

Australia operates as a kind of super-warrant on the performance of its main benefactor, China - and so too do South Africa's fortunes swing on the health of the world's second-biggest economy.

The bankruptcy that dare not speak its name

The chortle of the week comes courtesy of the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, a cabal of chums determined not to share their bag of plums.

So sensible yet still so outlandish

It is a measure of how weird the world's become when someone as out-there as Ron Paul can command the loyalty of millions.

You have to ask which commodity is likely to rocket

Yes, we all know never to assume past performance has any bearing on future returns, but still - the latest Morningstar unit trust rankings make for irresistible speculation.

Fresh appetite for 'risky' new market assets

On thursday night I re-read part two, the Greek bit, of Michael Lewis's Boomerang, a bitterly amusing chronicle of the collapse of old Europe. The original piece was published in Vanity Fair in October 2010. Given the long deadlines on glossy magazines, and the months Lewis must have spent researching the story, the account I read was nearly two years old.

No vast cash 'on sidelines' to be spent

Sometimes fund managers say the darndest things. One of the best is that there are vast pools of cash "on the sidelines" just itching to flood into the stock market.

US investors busy making other plans

What does "Bric" really stand for? No, no - not Brazil-Russia-India-China, as intended by the bloke who coined the acronym, Jim O'Neill of Goldman Sachs, Wall Street's biggest bank by assets.

Take their advice and Yule be sorry

What are the chances that a fund damager will get a big, fat macro bet right twice in a row? Particularly if said master of the universe is rather bearish and the rest of the world is, er, somewhat bearish, too?

It tastes sour, but it may be a sweet spot

There are several delightfully destructive scenarios being sketched by pundits as the Western world (and Japan) slouches its way to oblivion.

Low-hanging golden stocks ripe for picking

If nothing else cheers you up this week, take a long, loving look at the price of gold. In November 2001 it was $272.10/oz and this month it hit $1900.30/oz.

It's not the suits who are at fault

So the endgame in the tragicomedy goes like this: Italy-France-Spain-Germany-bang. Then Britain and the US.

Meltdown yes, but Armageddon no

Just how nasty will the damage be when the fall of Greece triggers all kinds of derivative-based insurance agreements?

How can saving Europe save us from dog food?

Had to chortle at the quick about-face shown by the Wall Street Journal website marketwatch.com in the wee hours of the European dawn on Thursday.

Bears in bull disguise prowl the eurozone

Forget the elephant, there is a great big bear in the room - and in the china shop, for that matter. There in the shadows, while Sarkozy and Merkel try their best to tune them out, the bears are primed and ready to crash the debt-market party.

Let's give all the petulant whingers something to really cry about

Jaundiced is too charming a word to describe the way many punters are feeling about the state of the world.

Italian holiday shows we are not so badly off in SA after all

Not sure whether to feel good or bad about this, but living the high life in Italy doesn't cost a whole lot more than schlepping through your average Joburg week.

The new Weimar Republic is here and it's a lottery

Had to chuckle about the UBS "rogue trader" debacle this week. A colleague asked the wicked question: why is the trader called a rogue only because he lost a whole lot of money? What about all his winning trades that were undoubtedly made using exactly the same slightly dubious methods?

SA too Dutch for its own good

Dutch disease normally afflicts countries that have a stroke of outrageous good fortune - such as discovering vast new oil reserves - but SA may be suffering the early stages of the illness right now.

Worth bearing with this lone voice on stocks

The tragic decline we see play out daily in the fiscal state of the US doesn't necessarily mean we have to give up hope for that country's listed companies.

Who's that playing with your money?

Compare page 10 of this edition with page 15 and tell me there isn't something weird going down in the wonderful world of stocks.

I'll tune you what: we're safe, my chinas

Global flight to safety? Here, okes, right here! You want bladdy safety, we got safety. We're safe, my chinas.

Keep calm and carry on taking the tech chips

So this was the month the black swans came home to roost, with much clucking and squawking and many a feather ruffled.

Take a deep breath and consider this...

It's the end of the world ... er, hang on a minute. Hold your fire, doomers, there's more to this bear market lark than meets the eye.

US snouts still firmly in the trough

YOU don't have to be a Democrat to feel repelled by the charades being played on the floor of the US Congress.

A conspiracy theory to spoil a rosy outlook

Now here's a lovely conspiracy theory, which explains everything you need to know about the two-year-long bull run in US stocks.

When will my glistening pile turn to glitter?

Nice to see news this week that another "value" manager, this time Investec's John Biccard, is dipping a toe into the inviting bog of gold stocks.

World ignores three Js and goes for one R

And now for the good news - which will no doubt bore the pants off pessimists who persist in calling for the rand to fall through a hole in the floor.

Do what you will, I'm going Dutch with my play money

IF you are as baffled as the best of us about market movements, maybe it's time we all revisited some basic truths. As many a bruised value-manager can attest, fundamental valuations appear to have gone out the window.