Form, flops and favourites: 5 things we learnt from the Afcon group stages
The group stages of the 2021 Africa Cup of Nations are behind us and the tournament hits its business as the knockout fixtures get under way on Sunday.
There was much to admire in the pool games, though they were not without their controversy and the tournament was perhaps a little slow to fire. TimesLIVE takes a look at five things we learnt from the first round:
The form book is out the window
There was very little to read into form from the group stages, where teams who were expected to excel have struggled and others have come to life.
Algeria came into the tournament on the high of a 34-game unbeaten run and victory at the recent Arab Cup, but bombed out in the first round.
Senegal did not score a single goal from open play in their three games — just a Sadio Mane penalty — but still topped their group. They have been underwhelming.
Morocco have also not looked convincing, nor Egypt, who have in fact been quite poor and fortunate they had a relatively easy group. Tunisia scraped into the knockout stages by finishing third in their pool.
Ghana have been poor for some time and their struggles were no real surprise, but few saw them finishing bottom of their group with a single point.
Juxtapose that against the likes of Nigeria and Ivory Coast, who came into the finals with low expectations, but have arguably been the top two teams.
And what of the likes of Equatorial Guinea, Gambia, Malawi and Comoros Islands, who have stunned the big guns and been full value for their success.
Some big names need to step up
Too many of the big names have failed to fire, with the likes of Egypt forward Mo Salah and Senegal striker Mane perhaps the most disappointing.
They have looked a shadow of their usual selves and while you cannot compare the teams and environment they play in at club level with the national side, there is an air of disinterest about them. Like their minds are in Liverpool and not Limbe.
You also got the feeling Riyad Mahrez was not too upset to be making an earlier-than-expected return to Manchester City after Algeria’s shock exit. Body language says a lot and it has not been great from any of the trio.
It would be wrong to pick on those three only — there are many others. But it is perhaps one of the failings of having the Nations Cup at this time of year — are the players fully focused on the job?
Surprise results set up lopsided draw
The shock results in the group stages have made for a lopsided draw for the knockout rounds in which one half features a number of the bigger teams.
It means only one of Egypt, Morocco or Ivory Coast will make the semifinals, while Cameroon must get past minnows Comoros, and then one of Guinea or Gambia to reach that same stage. It is chalk and cheese in terms of difficulty.
Likewise, Nigeria must see off Tunisia, but then face a much easier examination in the quarterfinals against Burkina Faso or Gabon.
To get to the semifinals Senegal must see off Cape Verde, and then Mali or Equatorial Guinea. Again, they could not really have asked for better.
If things go to form, you would probably expect to see Nigeria and Senegal in the first semifinal, and Cameroon against Ivory Coast or Morocco in the other.
Vindication of the 24-team concept?
One of the criticisms of the 24-team Nations Cup finals was that there would be too many dead rubbers and not enough competitive matches to keep the interest of spectators.
Well, that has certainly not been the case in this competition, with very few blowouts, and every game in the final round of group games meaning something to someone.
It made for high drama and vindicated the decision to go to 24 teams, providing plenty of contrasting styles and the chance for minnows to rise up.
It is highly unlikely that any of Equatorial Guinea, Gambia, Malawi and Comoros Islands would have qualified were it not for the bigger field, but what excitement they have brought to the competition.
Motsepe was right to push on
There was a time, right up to early January, when it seemed the Nations Cup could be postponed again as fears over the readiness of Cameroon to host, and some self-serving nonsense from European clubs about the Omicron variant, threatened the tournament.
Things were on a knife-edge and there were, reportedly, some high-profile figures agitating on the sidelines for a postponement, including Fifa president Gianni Infantino.
But credit to Caf president Patrice Motsepe — he took charge of the situation and made the decision that the games would go ahead. He showed leadership at a critical juncture for Caf and we can now look back and say he was right.
Africa Cup of Nations last-16 fixtures (all SA times) —
Burkina Faso v Gabon (Stade Municipal de Limbe, 6pm)
Nigeria v Tunisia (Stade Omnisport de Garoua, 9pm)
Guinea v Gambia (Kouekong Stadium, 6pm)
Cameroon v Comoros (Olembe Stadium, 9pm)
Senegal v Cape Verde (Kouekong Stadium, 6pm)
Morocco v Malawi (Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo, 9pm)
Ivory Coast v Egypt (Stade Omnisport de Douala, 6pm)
Mali v Equatorial Guinea (Stade Municipal de Limbe, 9pm)
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